Forwarded this email? Subscribe here for more Dead at 27 Reflections of an American watching his country prepare to illegally attack another country...again Scott Ritter Feb 20 READ IN APP Iranian women shopping in Tehran The news doesn’t look good. Prediction markets, like Polymarket, put the odds of the US attacking Iran by June 2026 at over 70%, and by the end of next month at more that 55%. Of course, these predictions are being made by people who are ignorant of what is truly going on inside the Trump White House—about what pressures have been placed on the military regarding operational timelines by the logistical sustainability burden of moving massive quantities of military resources in to the Middle East region, or the domestic political calculations being made about the President’s chances in the mid-terms elections, and what the impact of a war with Iran (positive or negative) would have on the outcome of these critical electoral contests. My ...
